Posts in Market Update
Market Trends Around the Sound: Q1-2019

Data for the first quarter of 2019 has arrived and many of the fundamentals that marked the final quarter of 2018—such as mediating home price growth and an influx of inventory—continued into Q1-2019. The first quarter is an historically slower real estate sales season and while past years departed from seasonal trendlines, 2019 shifted back to it, with less sales, longer market times, and relatively steady year-over-year home prices.

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How to Time the Market

I was recently holding an open house when a curious neighbor came into the home to check out the new improvements and ask about current market conditions. After showing her the home and added value/improvements made by the seller—and asking her to tell everyone she knew—I briefly explained that we are going through a market correction, which began in mid-May (like a light switch on May 10th), and touched on the probable causes. I went on to say that current market conditions seem to have stabilized: generally, sales have increased and inventory began decreasing around mid-October (I saw it October 18th). I summed it up quickly with, “I believe it’s a great time to buy.” She looked at me and said “yeah, but what would you say to your friend or a family member. How would you advise them?” I shrugged and smiled as I replied, “I just did.”

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Slower (Not Lower) Home Price Growth

S&P Dow Jones recently released the Case-Shiller Home Price Index for August 2018, revealing that Seattle home price growth continues to slow. Up until just two months before that, Seattle led the nation in single-family home price gains for 21 consecutive months, but that run was ended as Las Vegas took over the lead.

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The Puget Sound Real Estate Market is Finally Moving to a Balance

After seemingly endless months of a frenzied real estate market in the Puget Sound region in which buyers faced anemic supply and highly competitive bidding wars, the latest Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS) press release reports that we are “finally returning” to a more balanced market, as “buyers welcome more choices, moderating prices.”

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What to Make of Seattle’s Market Cooldown

It’s been a time of some uncertainty in the Seattle real estate market, as buyers and sellers have felt wary of falling home prices, longer market times, and growing inventory. As a Seattle Times article from early September noted, “home prices are continuing to fall across an unseasonably cool Seattle real estate market, with homes that would have been snapped up in an instant just several months ago now sitting unsold.” August represented the third straight month of median home price declines in King County, with the countywide cost of a single-family home, at $669,000, down nearly $60,000 compared to May 2018.

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Inventory Gains Help Ease Home Price Growth in Washington State

Those searching for homes in Western Washington are now choosing “from the largest supply of homes in three years,” this according to the latest press release published by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS). As the report outlines, home price growth has slowed significantly, at 6.7 percent across all counties surveyed. This paired with inventory gains is alleviating some pressure on buyers in the market.

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